Wingmen

posted by Chris Aung-Thwin at 0h19 EST on Jun 24


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Wingers with potential free agency status on July 1st:


Alex Kovalev (UFA)

Alex Tanguay (UFA)

Chris Higgins (RFA)

Guillaume Latendresse (RFA)

Tom Kostopolous (UFA)

Gregory Stewart (RFA)

Matt D’Agostini (RFA)


Barring any big signings or trades, it’s expected that all RFAs will be made qualifying offers, with everybody receiving a modest raise. Perhaps arbitration will be necessary to settle a deal with Higgins, but after last season he doesn’t have much negotiating leverage. It’s highly unlikely that any other team will try to grab one of our guys with an offer sheet (and equally unlikely that we send out an offer sheets of our own).


That leaves Kovy, Tanguay, and Kostopolous.


Tom the Bomb is a great team guy and a useful grinder, but he can be replaced by a younger, cheaper call-up (i.e. Stewart). If necessary, worry about TK in August.


Kovalev is a fan favorite, but Gainey should look into other options before giving l’Artiste a new deal. He’s 36 and infuriatingly inconsistent. While Kovy can still produce, there won’t be a line-up for his services on July 1.

No need to rush.


It was reported earlier in the week that Gainey has not had much in way of talks with Tanguay or his agent because he has been working on something big. Presumably – and this is a big presumption – that something big is Vincent Lecavalier. (And if we’re to believe Jean Perron, you can also throw Martin St-Louis’ name into that mess of a rumour.)


On Tuesday, league Czar Gary Bettman gave operational control of the Lightning to co-owner Oren Koules, but Len Barrie still holds a veto vote. Any trade involving Lecavalier might have to wait until mid-July when this dysfunctional Tampa ownership (hopefully) gets sorted out. Whether or not that trade involves the Habs remains to be seen.



Rumours aside, I’d put a priority on re-signing Tanguay. He’s a great hometown player who, if healthy, can probably chip in a good 75-80 points. While a salary of $5.25 – $5.5 million might seem like a lot, other UFA options will cost a lot more.

 


Marian Gaborik is a natural and electrifying goal-scorer and away from defensive-minded Jacques Lemaire, the 27 year-old Slovak might be able to put up even better numbers (in 2007-08 he notched 42 goals and 83 points in 77 games). That’s if - and that’s a big if - he can stay healthy. Gaborik has had recurring hip/groin problems for years, but did undergo corrective surgery earlier this season. Will he hold up for an entire 82 games? And playoffs? Most people have their doubts, but somebody will end up taking the risk. Gaborik will be looking for a deal worth about $7.5/season. He’ll negotiate for long-term, but might have to settle for something shorter to prove he can survive a season.


Martin Havlat is another great player who’s had bad luck with injuries. Groin and shoulder problems? Ouch. The Blackhawks will try hard to re-sign this veteran, but with their young guns due for big raises in the next couple of years, the probably won’t have the cap space for Havlat. He was making $6 million last season and will be looking for something similar. In 81 games last season, the 28-year old scored 29 goals and 48 assists for 77 points and (+/-) rating of +29.


Marian Hossa after being runner-up two years in a row, Hossa might opt to comfort himself with millions of dollars. He could easily fetch $8 million a season in a multi-year deal. He’s hit the 100-point mark once in his career and has thrice scored 40+ goals. He might try to figure something out with the Wings, but Ken Holland might not have the cap space if he wants to keep other key, and more affordable, pieces.


Daniel Sedin would be affordable, but when you tack on the identical contract that you’ll have to give his brother, Henrik, well, it starts to add up. More than the money, it’s the 12-year deals they’re looking for that could sour any deal. Worried that Lecavalier has a 10-year contract? Imagine two of those. The Canucks don’t want to lose their two most productive forwards, so there’s a good chance they re-sign in Vancouver. If not, it’s rumoured that the Leafs’ Brian Burke would make a pitch. Both brothers are good for about a point-per-game.


Mike Cammalleri will be looking to double his salary after a career year in Calgary (GP-81; G-39; A-43; P-82). He’s only 27 and might just be hitting his stride. It’s unclear if the Sutters will try to re-sign him or not, but with a disappointing playoff exit Darryl might be looking to shake up more than the coaching staff.

 


Who Else?

Brian Gionta, Erik Cole, Miroslav Satan, Maxim Afinogenov, Steve Sullivan, Mike Knuble, Petr Sykora, Ales Kotalik, Todd Bertuzzi, Mikael Samuelsson.


Half of these guys will be re-signed by their current teams and the other half are good depth forwards, but aren’t necessarily the game-breaking goal scorers we’re dying to land.


Best Bet

Re-sign Tanguay. Toss an offer out to Cammalleri, and the Sedins. Maybe offer Gaborik an interesting one or two-year contract.


See who bites.

And if nobody does, then all it means is that you haven’t overpaid.

Kovalev will be waiting.


...


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Comments

habsoul's picture

I can't see any reason to sign Tanguay instead of Cammaleri. They would cost about the same and Cammaleri is younger, tougher, and more productive. And why not add Laperriere, a gritty center who will get you some goals?

I also like the idea of extending an offer sheet to Phil Kessel. You lose some draft picks but you get a player who's young and a proven scorer at the NHL level. And should the Bruins match the offer you push them further into Cap-room hell. Nice.


24 Cups's picture

LW = Tanguay/MaxPac/Higgins/Lats

RW = UFA/SK74/Dags/Laperriere

Spares = Stewart/TTB/Laraque

Extra Cap Coin = Shore up holes at centre and on defense.

In a perfect world, we sign Hossa to take that UFA spot and wave goodbye to Kovalev.  Hossa is younger, more consistent, and can be bought out down the road, something we can't do with Kovalev.  Hossa would also fit into a new long term plan as our younger players mature.  Kovy will be on the clock within two years.


Chris Aung-Thwin's picture

Did you trade away AK46?

We've got quite the log-jam (Laraque won't take being a "spare"... I think we're making a swap.


24 Cups's picture

How could I forget my favourite Hab, AK46?!  What I really meant to do was move him to RW and have him as the #2 winger after the UFA.  I really like SK74 but he needs time to mature.  He's certainly still in the picture as far as I'm concerned.  It wasn't a typo, more like a brain cramp.


andrewberkshire's picture

I think it would benefit D'ags and MaxP to spend at least the start of next season in the AHL. They both struggled down the stretch in the bigs and could use some time to dominate.


24 Cups's picture

Dags has served his time in Hamilton, it's make it or break it time for him.  He would be a good fit with Lats and Laps if he learns how to play in both ends.  If MaxPac doesn't cut it in training camp, then I agree that he should play in Hamilton.  I also hope we don't start rushing all our defensive prospects.  There's a big difference between junior and/or college hockey and the NHL, especially on the back end.


andrewberkshire's picture

I wouldn't exactly call it make or break for D'ags, I think he would benefit from 20 games to start the year in the ahl. I think as far as our defensive prospects go, I just want McDonagh with Hamilton unless he has a dynamite training camp. I just don't want his development stalled because of a lack of competition in the NCAA. PK Subban or Weber, one of them will probably make the team out of training camp, and I think pairing whoever impresses most with Markov to start the season would give a nice safety net to fall back on until they adjust to the bigs.


andrewberkshire's picture

I have a feeling waiting on Kovalev will be slightly dangerous. Something tells me, even though he continually says he only wants to play in Montreal, that he would jump at the chance to go back to Pittsburgh and play on Malkin's wing. And for dirt cheap. I also believe he would be willing to sign a deal in Montreal for an average cap hit of 2.5 million if Bob gives him a couple years on the deal.

As for Tanguay, PLEASE Bob sign him as fast as possible. He'll take just under 5 million I'm sure, and he's a quality player in his prime.


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